The 1918 H1N1 influenza had a mortality rate of ‘only’ five percent…yet it still killed 50M people out of a global population of 1B.

The key isn’t the mortality rate, but the virulence. Do the math: if just one-eighth of the world’s 8B population were infected with the coronavirus (which seems to be a very conservative figure given its thus-far documented virulence), COVID-19’s current 2% mortality rate equals 20M deaths.

Do not panic, but more importantly, don’t allow yourself to become complacent by articles that tell you what you want to hear.

Written by

Retired Navy. Inveterate contrarian. If I haven’t done it, I’ve usually done something close.

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